Tetlock Quotes

#1. Philip Tetlock, a psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania, explored these so-called expert predictions in a landmark twenty-year study, which he published in his 2005 book Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

Daniel Kahneman

#2. The more interviews that an expert had done with the press, Tetlock found, the worse his predictions tended to be.

Nate Silver

#3. Tetlock's words, even when their predictions prove

Steven D. Levitt

#4. No, I never expect people to be idiots," George said. "I do expect them to lack some of the necessary information, because experience has demonstrated to me that assuming someone in a key position knows everything you do leads to disaster.

Ilona Andrews

#5. produce forecast-wrecking

Philip E. Tetlock

#6. For scientists, not knowing is exciting. It's an opportunity to discover; the more that is unknown, the greater the opportunity.

Philip E. Tetlock

#7. So finding meaning in events is positively correlated with wellbeing but negatively correlated with foresight.

Philip E. Tetlock

#8. I could see how easy it would be to fall into loving Bella. It would be exactly like falling: effortless. Not letting myself love her was the opposite of falling - it was pulling myself up a cliff-face, hand over hand, the task as grueling as if I had no more than mortal strength.

Stephenie Meyer

#9. I heard Q-Tip on the Jungle Brothers' song 'The Promo.' It was very exciting. It was very new. The music and the culture around hip-hop was evolving. I think there's an emotional quality to their music and there's a vulnerability to the music. For me, A Tribe Called Quest was my Beatles.

Michael Rapaport

#10. people you work with don't want to hear how hard your life is or how hard you work. They care how well you do your job.

Liz Weber

#11. Fayza leaned in, squinting, as if she didn't hear me correctly: one of the library of power moves that adults used to signal that other adults were fucking idiots.

Daryl Gregory

#12. A lot of nasty things grow out of love if it isn't ... tended right. Jealousy, hate, resentment, suspicion.

J.D. Robb

#13. Every Olympic athlete prepares differently. For me, I am 100 percent into the sport. And if I decide to really make a crucial career decision to say, 'This is something I want to do,' I want to leave no stone unturned in my preparation.

Apolo Ohno