Best Overconfidence Quotes

#1. Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.

Ted Cadsby

#2. Columbia Business School even has a term for it now. They call it "honest overconfidence" and they have found that men on average rate their performance to be 30 percent better than it is.

Katty Kay

#3. Incompetence annoys me. Overconfidence terrifies me.

Malcolm Gladwell

#4. It's alright to have a good opinion of yourself, but we Americans are so smug with our cockiness, we somehow feel that just because we are Americans, we can whip our weight in wildcats.

Ernie Pyle

#5. CEOs of large firms often fail to read the handwriting on the wall, because of complacence, inertia, or overconfidence.

Navi Radjou

#6. Since he was much weaker than his enemy, he could afford to display no weakness at all.

Michael Dobbs

#7. Auguste preferred women. He told me I would grow into it. I told him that he could get heirs and I would read books. I was ... nine? Ten? I thought I was already grown up. The hazards of overconfidence.

C.S. Pacat

#8. Better not perceive yourselves too high, O humans.
We only value mankind as our experimentation object.

Toba Beta

#9. OVERCONFIDENCE. We often stroll through life, thinking everything will be fine, until suddenly it isn't.

Timothy J. Keller

#10. I have a cunning plan.

Richard Curtis

#11. Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.

Daniel Kahneman

#12. To a winner, complacency and overconfidence can be destructive. To losers, desperation and despondency are just as harmful.

Bill Walsh

#13. Before you attempt to beat the odds, be sure you could survive the odds beating you.

Larry Kersten

#14. Overconfidence is a strong ally. People are always surprised when you try to do things you can't.

Edward W. Robertson

#15. I don't think there is a thing like overconfidence in chess. It's always better to be too confident than too reluctant.

Magnus Carlsen

#16. Doubt is often better than overconfidence, for it leads to inquiry, and inquiry leads to invention.

Hudson Maxim

#17. Less reasoning when be too sure.

Toba Beta

#18. It wasn't that he seemed at all violent - rather, he had a peculiar unhinged intensity that told her that to challenge him would mean hearing him defend his hypothesis for the next forty minutes.

Joe Pitkin

#19. Because if taken in excess, it causes giddiness, recklessness, and dangerous overconfidence,' said Slughorn. 'Too much of a good thing, you know . . . highly toxic in large quantities. But taken sparingly, and very occasionally . . .

J.K. Rowling

#20. As we neared the watering hole, I saw lions sprawled at the base of the acacia tree, relaxing in the shade. Many, many lions. If a group of lions is normally called a pride, then this was, at the very least, an overconfidence. Possibly an arrogance.

Dixie Lyle

#21. Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts for much in subjective confidence.

Daniel Kahneman

#22. One of these days my overconfidence is going to get me killed . . . but not today.

Bryan Schardein

#23. Don't you know about the praying mantis that waved its arms angrily in front of an approaching carriage, unaware that they were incapable of stopping it? Such was the high opinion it had of its talents.

Zhuangzi

#24. Self esteem is not the same as being self centered, self absorbed or selfish. Self esteem is also not complacency or overconfidence, both of which and set us up for failure. Self esteem is a strong motivator to work hard. Self esteem is related to mental health and happiness.

Glenn R. Schiraldi

#25. Overconfidence is a lowly bitch that easily fucked.

Toba Beta

#26. Both religiousness and lawlessness share the same problems: overconfidence and unrighteousness. "Why do bad things happen to good people?" we might ask - the very question that betrays our misplaced assumption that we somehow deserve a good life.

Tim Chaddick

#27. Not cocky overconfidence that comes from collecting biased information and ignoring uncertainties, but the real confidence that comes from knowing you've made the best decision that you could.

Chip Heath

#28. Successful gamblers - and successful forecasters of any kind - do not think of the future in terms of no-lose bets, unimpeachable theories, and infinitely precise measurements. These are the illusions of the sucker, the sirens of his overconfidence.

Nate Silver

#29. The man who wishes to keep at the problem long enough to really learn anything positively must not take dangerous risks. Carelessness and overconfidence are usually more dangerous than deliberately accepted risks.

David McCullough

#30. The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

Daniel Kahneman

#31. No civilization, no matter how mighty it may appear to itself, is indestructible.

Niall Ferguson

#32. Never believe you are the best, but believe you are one of the best.

Auliq Ice

#33. A very disturbing feature of overconfidence is that it often appears to be poorly associated with knowledge - that is, the more ignorant the individual, the more confident he or she maybe.

Robert Trivers

#34. Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.

Daniel Kahneman